2 Responses

  1. Matt Morris
    Matt Morris May 3, 2011 at 2:59 pm

    Thanks Paul,

    Statistical surveys are an important tool for assessing whether the benefits of the commodity boom are reaching the broader population. In particular Household Income and Expenditure Surveys (HIES) can be used to track what is happening to household expenditures and levels of poverty.

    The last PNG Household Income and Expenditure Survey was done in 1996.

    According to the NSO website, a new 2009-10 HIES will only cover PNG’s five urban centres (Port Moresby, Lae, Goroka, Madang and Rabaul/Kokopo), which would tell us nothing about what is happening in rural areas. I’ve heard rumours that some rural sampling was done, but haven’t been able to verify this or ascertain whether it is sufficient to do detailed sub-national analysis of household expenditure. In particular whether it would be sufficient to do the kind of detailed poverty mapping that the World Bank is supporting in Fiji. Such poverty mapping is a tool that would be invaluable for better understanding regional disparities in PNG.

    According to the NSO’s survey budget estimate, the whole survey activities will cost the Government around K6 million. Do you know where the survey has got to or can others shed some more light on this? What other statistical evidence is available on development indicators in rural areas?

    1. Paul Barker
      Paul Barker May 3, 2011 at 8:10 pm

      Well there’s the Demographic & Health Survey DHS 2006, which only was released last year, valuable material and shows continued very high child and maternal mortality rates, but perhaps need to be cautious about trends from 1996 (which would suggest a major increased rate), I’m told 1986 data may be more reliable which shows a steadier, but still unsatisfactory rate.

      The HIES is meant to be released any day, but we’ve heard that for a while and when a user meeting was to be held a few months back it was cancelled at the last minute. Rural sampling was also done and we’re expecting to be able to use that for a financial competency survey and are told it’s sufficiently robust.

      The 2010, whoops 2011 Census….will need to update ourselves on progress, but I’m told its not been helped with some injuries, including on the part of member(s) of the Aust support team,….so again perhaps we shouldn’t hold our breath and anyway output won’t be till well after the 2012 Election…

      [Download the national report from the 2006 DHS here (140MB)]

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