Comments

Rest In Peace Anthony and May God bless your family.

Thank you all for this useful summary. I'm glad that DFAT aid staffing has not been cut at this stage as it will require significant staffing numbers and skilled staff to ensure that the massive cuts within countries preserve the most effective poverty reduction programs.

Extreme poverty will not end from no where,the governments needs to find out the root cause upon poverty. The government itself may cause the situation to be more worse or a little bit good. And talking of the use of predictions based on the World Bank’s $1.25 per day as a sign of extreme poverty, i don't think identifying that as a criteria for poverty measurement is a resolution, NO!. Governments and different development institutions or organizations should ask themselves as to " why people are living under $1.25 per day?". If they will be able to answer that question, its obvious that they will find causes and setting up of strategic solutions towards the problem, otherwise extreme poverty can never stop.

Robin – sage commentary, as always. I comment in this post as it is the most recent in the threads relating to the budget release; in reality I am probably commenting broadly about the cuts now the dust has settled a little. We've heard the speeches from both sides about their versions of a future for Australia. The relative silence on the slashing of the aid budget in both speeches is telling. Being “approximately the 13th largest donor” is not a mask Australians should accept with any pride. I am under-impressed though unsurprised. I was enthused by the New Aid Paradigm's focus on a results/investment link, so I am somewhat bemused by its application to these budget cuts. Of the previous cuts I argued that we needed to talk less about how to spend and more about how to leverage. That was when we were at 5 billion. Today I argue the same holds true. I am not defending the cuts; I don’t think they can be defended. None of us should accept these decisions as good, but it is what it is. I doubt tomorrow the Government will come out declaring a typo and put back another billion or so into the aid program. So it is now up to us all to do what we can to support what has, to date, been considered a strong aid program and we need to help to keep it that way. We are a myriad of stakeholders - NGOs, private sector, civil society, contractors and so on. So while it has been previously highlighted through The Development Policy Centre's surveys that we all have vested interests, never has it been more important to be as one. The aid program needs us (and others) to succeed. We know it and so does the aid program, yet none of us alone are the panacea for development. It is the right thing to come together and work with the aid program to ensure it delivers. It is also the right thing to come together and maintain the rage. We are better than approximately 13th and the world deserves us to be better than that. Could together we create leveraged results better than what is being invested by ‘number one’ donor? I don't know but shouldn't we at least have a go?

The allocations to UN agencies demonstrate just how little the Government took into account their own rhetoric when it came to making the cuts. As you rightly point out, Robin, the distinction made between 'humanitarian' agencies and 'non-humanitarian' agencies was entirely arbitrary - based not on their demonstrated results, actual mandates or the size of their programs, but simply where they happen to sit in the budget structure. The result is that Australia now provides $19 million in core funding to UNRWA, despite the limited geographic scope, relatively small budget, and complete lack of programs in Indo-Pacific - while at the same time providing only $12 million to UNDP and $21 million to UNICEF, organisations with extensive and important programs in Australia's own region, much larger budgetary needs, and mandates at least as relevant to the Abbott government's stated priorities. It's not clear to me why the budget - which is notably thin on details and basically leaves it up to individual program managers to make and determine how to absorb the cuts within a specific program - needed to dictate exactly the amount each UN agency would receive. It didn't do this to other multilateral organisations (other than the ICRC), nor to the NGO program or any of the country programs. Why wasn't it left to those who actually understand and have ongoing relationships with the UN organisations to make the difficult decisions about how to divide up the resources once the cuts had been made?

Thanks for including our TED paper, Camilla, much appreciated! I also feature core findings and more info in a recent blog post (http://aidnography.blogspot.com/2015/05/TED-talks-international-development-research-denskus-esser-communication-theory.html) and if anybody has difficulty accessing the paper-just get in contact through Twitter (@aidnography) or email! Tobias

Irene, What I was trying to say is that it could be worse than it was in the 70s, 80s and 90s when aid grew at 1% a year after inflation. Something like this is what I identify as the most likely, though by no means highly likely, scenario from 2107-18 onwards.

Can I suggest that the impact of reducing our aid to Afghanistan needs to be identified in that catch-all "South and South West Asia". Withdrawing our troops from Afghanistan did not mean “mission accomplished”. Women face forced marriage, rape and domestic violence, with average life expectancy of 62. It’s 84 in Australia. 97 of every 1,000 Afghan children will die before their fifth birthday. It’s 4 in Australia. An average Afghan income in 2013 was US$685, or about $13 per week. That aid reduction of millions of dollars makes a difference to the average Afghan. Both Save the Children (The AUSTRALIAN 21 April) and CARE Australia (Canberra Times, 15 April) specifically identified the impacts on their respective programs. Reducing aid to Afghanistan demonstrates the lack of Australia’s long term commitment to the country’s future. Can a more finely-honed analysis be undertaken - please ?

An excellent analysis, thank you. Would seem an opportunity to conduct a hard-hitting, independent aid review focused on performance and effectiveness, which involves intended beneficiaries. I've returned from 14 years in PNG health, a major recipient. Does anyone seriously believe Australian aid to PNG health is a success story?

One thing that wasn't discussed at the event on Wednesday is the impact that cuts such as these has on the quality of total engagement between Australia and recipient countries. DFAT people will likely find it harder to get access to political and bureaucratic leaders and decision-makers if they are unable to answer questions about aid allocations with any degree of certainty or (even worse) if they are having to tell people that promised programs have been cancelled or (worse still) current activities are being axed before completion. Not only does this mean that other donors will start to look more preferable but there will be knock-on effects in terms of the overall political and diplomatic dynamic.

Great Story!!! Thank you!

Deep and intriguing writing Joel. Thanks for this. The sly moves for the Security Council seat are so clearly visible from your graph - fabulously stark. I felt enthused by your final paragraph ....