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From Terence Wood on New evidence on microfinance
Hi again Milford,
"The fact is – and I think you MUST know this – research results are skewed all the time in the service of hidden agendas."
Research results are skewed some of the time (if it really was all of the time we should cease to pay attention to any research -- be it Scott's, Ferguson's or your own). And even then, only some of the time is the bias a by-product of vested interests, rather than ideology and the other issues I've listed above.
And I haven't ignored the research you've linked to -- I've simply pointed out that none the work that you've linked to which I've had time to read provides evidence to back up your allegations against Roodman and Karlan, or your sweeping claims about the motivations of people promoting micro-finance. Your book might -- I've only read your review of Roodman's book (which didn't), but you're not doing a great job of convincing me to take the time to read your book. It's a busy world and if you can't provide good evidence here, then you're not going to persuade me at least. Perhaps other readers will feel differently though.
All the best
Terence
From Gordon Craig on Vanuatu after Cyclone Pam: how will reconstruction be financed?
Hi
Glad to hear there are suggestions that some of the big infrastructure programs already in the place need to be reconsidered - some common sense ? Priorities have changed completely since PAM so nothing should be off the table. Some projects - like a second Wharf for Port Vila and the outer island wharfs (this has been tried before) are questionable even in good times so lets review it all and free up some resources for reconstruction.
From Milford Bateman on New evidence on microfinance
Hi Terence
I was not planning any further comment on this blog posting, but your breathtakingly naïve or else deliberately misleading – can’t decide which it is - reply has changed my mind. You state, yet again, and this time with even more force, that I am claiming conspiracy and you repeat your view that, essentially, whatever any of the high-profile researchers and institutions say is the reality, then this is the reality, period. I confess to being amazed at how hard you are trying to rubbish my views to the point where you make such silly statements about conspiracy.
The fact is – and I think you MUST know this – research results are skewed all the time in the service of hidden agendas. Are you really quite unaware of high-profile researchers like James Ferguson and James Scott who pretty convincingly show that a yawning gap generally exists between the declared objective of any particular policy intervention and the hidden political agenda that lies behind that particular policy intervention? You seem unaware, or else unwilling to concede in your current position, that all of the big development agencies have political agendas and often aggressively pursue these agendas irrespective of the facts and that this very often involves manipulating research results, (or asking the researchers to do it for them) in order to get support for the policies they were always planning to put into practice anyway. Have you not seen ‘Inside Job’? Was it a conspiracy that so many academics took big bucks to write wrongly supportive reports for the Wall Street’s big banks, or was it simply an accident on their part?
In nearly all my postings here I also linked to my own research outputs in which I try to make my case, yet you ignore this completely, clearly don’t consult any of my outputs, and then continue to state that I provided no evidence. I am stumped as to how to respond to this tactic. Is this really what a blog should be doing? I thought it was all about constructive debate and the willingness to listen to heterodox views and fairly represent these views to the audience.
I am so reminded of my time in Yugoslavia in the late 1980s as a young PhD student collecting data on small business policy there, and having discussions with many visiting Russian economists in the same dormitory. So many of them argued that central planning was basically fine, just had a few problems around the edges, and the evidence they quoted for this view was the large amount of supportive research emerging from the research units attached to or funded by the Communist Party. My view, and others there, was that this research simply could not be trusted since everyone knew that the incentives to manipulate the data in order to come up with supportive views - foreign trips, nice apartment, access to hard currency, career progression, etc – were simply so strong. Moreover, there was also a lot of quality research to show that just such a scenario was indeed playing out and that the incentives did pervert the course of research in Russia in order to build up a false picture of the success of central planning. And yes, I was called a conspiracy theorist for suggesting such outrageous things were very likely going on and that we needed to be very careful what some researchers were saying and why! I guess I can’t win, then and now……
Milford
From Jason on Solid waste management in Papua New Guinea
Hi Dennis,
Your project to convert waste to energy sounds very interesting. I have been doing research on waste management and in particular garbage removal in Port Moresby and astounded by the lack of a policy and limited support or support that is taking forever. Look forward to hearing more on your project soon. Keep up the good work. I also have some ideas of addressing the problem, starting small and getting traction to upscale and address the bigger issue. All the very best. Now that JICA is already working on the Baruni Landfill feasibility that should at least pave the way for better dumping but the heart of the problem lies with each of us being responsible at home, as a start to having a healthy city and environment.
From Terence Wood on New evidence on microfinance
Hi Milford,
Sorry for my slow reply - last week was hectic.
To be clear, I'm not calling you a conspiracy theorist (of the 'George Bush ordered 9-11' type) and yet you are alleging conspiracy everywhere, from David Roodman conspiring with CGD's funders to write a less critical book, to USAID and the World Bank seeking to impose microfinance on developing countries for the benefit of donor country vested interests.
Likewise, you allege that the DFID funded review finds that the evidence base for microfinance was lacking. Agreed. But all sorts of development work goes ahead with an insufficient evidence base. Sometimes this is the by-product of vested interests conspiring to shape policy (this certainly seems to have been an issue back home in New Zealand for aspects of the the NZ aid programme in recent years). But it can also be a by-product of mistaken beliefs and the zeal that so many people (not just of a free market bent) bring to matters development.
As for evidence -- you have provided a lot of links. But nothing to substantiate the claims that really need substantiating at this point in time: your allegations against Roodman and Karlan. The DFID funded review, Roodman's book, and the papers I linked to above all benefit from the fact that the evidence for their arguments is clearly accessible. Sure, it's harder to do this when writing a blog comment, but not impossible, as I hope readers will agree on the basis of my initial blog post.
Cheers
Terence
From Ashlee Betteridge on Citizenship for sale: Vanuatu launches ‘Economic rehabilitation after Pam’
Just a note that Australia is <a href="http://www.canberratimes.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/citizenship-for-sale-government-explores-pricebased-immigration-system-20150503-1myvwk.html" rel="nofollow">now considering something similar apparently</a>!! Was in the news this morning...
From Jerry Balboa Madiba Damoi on Social challenges in PNG
Social structures in our society are breaking down faster than we think because of ignorance by generational behaviour thing. Free education is abused by implementors and legitimate processes are undermined by nepotism. Corruption disorients good governance. In the last 20 years the has been a mixed bag of leaps and bounds really because we tried too hard, became too greedy, or our policies were simply inferior. More so just a fast lane thing. Never mind how we got here we burst on regardless
From Robin Davies on Book review: ‘Migration and Development: Perspectives from Small States’
I agree the Commonwealth Secretariat should have made the book available gratis as a downloadable PDF file, as is now the practice of the World Bank. As it is, even the PDF version will set you back £35. However, you can at least view the whole book page by page online, <a href="http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/commonwealth/social-issues-migration-health/migration-and-development_9781848599239-en#page1" rel="nofollow">here</a>.
From Tracey on Opportunity to work as a lecturer in economics at UPNG
Hi my name is Tracey . I was online and I googled jobs for economist in PNG and came across this. I think Mr Cornish, my current lecturer got this job. I just wanted to say thank you to everyone behind this scheme and the australian government. I am more than thankful for Mr Cornish I have learnt more than I would probably have if it wasn't for you guys. Thanks again 🙂
From Henry on Book review: ‘Migration and Development: Perspectives from Small States’
Thanks for the review Carmen.
Even if the book was amazing (and by the sounds of it, this is perhaps not the right word to use), the price is a major disincentive. Amazon are retailing for $108. I work for a small non-profit and we're currently research a project on migration and development yet this type of barrier to access means I'll never get my hands on a copy.
If researchers want their work to be engaged with seriously, they have to do better.
From Bill Pennington on New evidence on microfinance
I'm not sure they have been publicly released. If you write to CARE Cambodia - and for CAVAC maybe through DFAT/Aid section at the Embassy - they will send you a copy. At one stage, CARE had the debt report available on their website, but it doesn't seem to be there now.
From Bill Pennington on Aid cuts get the comedy treatment